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FUTURES MARKET TIMING SIGNALS: GRAIN MARKETS
Last updated 8-5-04 |
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SYM | TECH - LT | TECH - ST | SEAS | POWER | OI | VOLAT |
S: | Bearish | Very bearish, but near a ST rally point | Peak A/May behind, bearish N/D ahead | Very bullish, supportive of rally | Low | Falling, confirming downtrend |
Look for a violent downtrend rally to develop shortly. Keep very tight stops on shorts, if hit move to sidelines. Any rallies likely to be bull traps at this point. | ||||||
C: |
Ditto | Ditto | Peak A/May behind, bearish S/ O dead ahead | Ditto | Unc | Ditto |
Situation very ditto to Beans. Look for a downtrend rally followed by further selloff. | ||||||
W: |
Ditto | Ditto | Bullish Sep/Oct dead ahead | Ditto | Very high | Reaching extreme low |
Most bullish of the major grains as rally precursor signals are well-aligned. But downside not technically over. Keep very tight stops on shorts. | ||||||
NOTES: |
Dittos for rice and oats. The April '04 grain tops were CLASSIC TEXTBOOK "5-Star" short-side setups. | |||||
LEGEND |
TECH - LT: Long-term technical picture, usually based on weekly charts |
TECH - ST: Short-term technical picture, usually based on daily charts |
POWER: Interpretation of internal market power |
OI: Open interest analysis |
VOLAT: Volatility analysis |
Unc: Unclear |